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Is a Massive Economic Downturn Coming?

The United States has seen its fair share of economic ups and downs throughout its history.

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The United States has seen its fair share of economic ups and downs throughout its history. From the Great Depression of the 1930s to the Great Recession of 2008, economic downturns have had a significant impact on the country’s financial well-being. So, is the U.S. due for another major economic downturn? Let’s take a closer look at the historical data.

First, it’s essential to understand that the U.S. economy is cyclical. It goes through periods of growth and contraction, often driven by factors such as inflation, interest rates, and government policy. While the severity and duration of these cycles can vary, there is a pattern to their occurrence. Economic downturns tend to happen every 8-10 years, with some lasting longer than others.

The most recent major economic downturn in the United States was the Great Recession, which officially began in December 2007 and lasted until June 2009. During this period, the U.S. economy experienced a significant decline in economic activity, including a sharp drop in employment, a decline in consumer spending, and a contraction of credit. The Great Recession was caused in large part by a housing market bubble, as well as risky lending practices by financial institutions.

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Since the end of the Great Recession, the U.S. economy has experienced a period of sustained growth. The unemployment rate has fallen to historic lows, and the stock market has reached record highs. However, there are indications that the current economic expansion may be reaching its limits.

One indicator of a possible economic downturn is the yield curve. The yield curve is a graph that plots the interest rates of U.S. Treasury bonds of different maturities. Typically, longer-term bonds have higher interest rates than shorter-term bonds. When the yield curve inverts, which means that the interest rates on shorter-term bonds are higher than those on longer-term bonds, it’s often seen as a warning sign of an impending recession.

The yield curve inverted briefly in 2019, and while it has since reverted to its typical pattern, some economists see this as a sign that the U.S. economy could be due for a downturn soon.

Another factor that could contribute to a possible economic downturn is rising levels of debt. The U.S. government has been running large budget deficits for several years, and the national debt has reached historic highs. Additionally, many Americans are carrying significant amounts of personal debt, including credit card debt and student loans. If a large number of people begin defaulting on their debts, it could have a ripple effect throughout the economy.

There are also concerns about global economic conditions, including trade tensions between the U.S. and China and uncertainty surrounding Brexit. These factors could potentially destabilize the global economy, leading to a downturn in the U.S. as well.

While there are certainly indications that the U.S. could be due for another major economic downturn, it’s important to remember that predicting the future is always uncertain. Economic cycles can be unpredictable, and there are many factors that can influence their occurrence and severity. That said, it’s always wise to be prepared for the possibility of an economic downturn, whether through building up savings, paying down debt, or investing in diversified assets.

In conclusion, the historical data suggests that the U.S. is likely due for another major economic downturn at some point in the future. While the timing and severity of such a downturn are uncertain, there are signs that it could happen sooner rather than later. As always, it’s important to be aware of the risks and take steps to prepare for the possibility of a downturn, both at the individual and policy levels.

How to prepare for a great recession:

A recession is a period of significant economic decline that typically lasts for several months to a few years. During a recession, many people may experience job loss, financial instability, and difficulty making ends meet. It is important to be prepared for a recession, whether you are an individual, a business owner, or an investor. Here are some tips on how to prepare for a recession:

Reduce debt: In a recession, debt can be a major burden. It is important to reduce or eliminate debt as much as possible before a recession hits. This can include paying off credit cards, student loans, car loans, and other debts.

Build an emergency fund: An emergency fund is a savings account that is set aside to cover unexpected expenses. During a recession, an emergency fund can be especially important to help cover bills and expenses during periods of job loss or reduced income. Aim to save at least three to six months of living expenses in an emergency fund.

Cut unnecessary expenses: Review your budget and look for ways to cut expenses. This can include canceling subscriptions or memberships, eating out less, and reducing entertainment expenses. By cutting expenses, you can save money and be better prepared for a recession.

Diversify investments: If you are an investor, it is important to diversify your portfolio. This can include investing in a mix of stocks, bonds, and other assets. Diversification can help reduce the risk of loss during a recession.

Improve job skills: In a recession, job loss can be a major concern. It is important to improve your job skills and make yourself more valuable to employers. This can include taking classes, attending workshops, or earning additional certifications.

Consider additional income sources: During a recession, additional income sources can be helpful. This can include a part-time job, freelance work, or starting a side business. By earning additional income, you can offset any potential job loss or reduced income.

Review insurance coverage: Review your insurance coverage, including health, auto, and home insurance. Make sure that you have adequate coverage to protect yourself in case of an unexpected event.

Stay informed: Keep up-to-date on economic news and trends. This can help you anticipate potential economic changes and make informed decisions about your finances.

Plan for the long term: A recession is typically a temporary economic downturn. It is important to plan for the long term and continue to invest in your future. This can include saving for retirement, investing in education, or starting a business.

In conclusion, preparing for a recession is important for individuals, businesses, and investors. By reducing debt, building an emergency fund, cutting unnecessary expenses, diversifying investments, improving job skills, considering additional income sources, reviewing insurance coverage, staying informed, and planning for the long term, you can be better prepared for any potential economic downturn. While a recession can be difficult, being prepared can help you weather the storm and emerge stronger in the long run.

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Elections

America No More…

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After watching with over a hundred others the newly released movie, Civil War, I left the theater stunned, and I was not alone. Was it a good movie? Just a deeply unsettling one! Could it really happen? You don’t even want to imagine it! But with Biden’s assault on America continuing and Trump reemerging as the favored GOP candidate, the American division is growing. More and more citizens are getting angrier as their standard of living is in jeopardy and illegals are getting benefits citizens can only dream of.

Spoiling the movie’s plot is never appropriate, but when Western forces from Texas, Florida, and even California take on the elected President, the country is left in a civil war. We watch as desensitized media professionals cover the death of hundreds of American citizens. To the film’s media, the war is just a once-in-a-lifetime story that deserves to be captured one picture at a time. After all, it’s the media’s job. They are just feeding citizens what they want—blood, gore, winners, and victims. What would happen if America descends into such chaos? This movie provides one disturbing view, one that, God help us, must never happen.

One thing is clear, when a country loses trust in its leader’s ability to preserve their cherished freedoms and ensure equal treatment under the law, even insurrection seems somehow possible. That is a nightmare no American should have to entertain, but more and more Americans seem to be losing hope in the future of our country. They don’t trust elections. Many don’t even like the Presidential choices presented to them.

The Founding Fathers valued freedom enough to unleash a revolution against the greatest power at the time. Enough citizens joined them in securing what most at the time believed impossible, independence. Yes, insurrection hatched our beloved America. Belief in equal rights and freedom are powerful forces that have always driven patriotic Americans to action.


Even with our differences, most Americans believe in property rights, voting rights, law enforcement to keep us safe, freedom of speech, and personal responsibility. Unfortunately, more and more Americans feel these values are in question, and they are not sure America can be saved!

Many Americans no longer even believe that elections will produce a lawful winner. They don’t trust the voting machines. They want paper ballots that can be counted. They don’t believe multiple days are needed. Hasn’t one day of voting always been enough? They want required IDs and signed mail-in ballots. They fear ballot harvesting is just another name for ‘manufacturing” all the votes you need to ensure a fraudulent victory. Are American fair elections no more!

Many no longer believe that the enforcement of law is fair and sure. While former President Donald Trump has been charged with multiple “crimes,” President Joe Biden’s similar actions aren’t even charged. Hunter Biden’s influence peddling with money set aside for the “Big Guy” are not even covered in the mainstream media. The Dept. of Justice is quick to charge Trump, but with the Bidens, we hear nothing but crickets. People who commit crimes are being let go instead of being held accountable. Is American law and order no more!

Under President Trump, our border was finally more under control. Under Biden, his open border has been continually flooding our country with illegals from around the world. They come expecting benefits at the expense of taxpaying citizens. Illegals overwhelm services in our urban areas. Legal immigrants had to wait years to enter and are fuming at this invasion of illegals rushing to the front of the line and expecting to be accepted, supported, and allowed to become citizens. Is America’s secure border no more!

We thought in America, your home was your castle. If you work to buy the home of your dreams, you were sure that your property rights were secure in a community that you loved. But today, squatters are taking over vacant homes and fending off owners who want them to leave their property. Illegals are being told to come to America, find an empty home, and move in. In the name of equity, governments are rezoning the suburbs and requiring the building of low-income housing where it is not wanted. Are America’s property rights no more!

Do you believe America is lost? Do you believe nothing can reverse this march to chaos? Do you believe that it is time to buy your own guns to protect your family when the government won’t? Is a civil war coming? If you answered “yes” to any of these questions, you are in danger of losing the optimistic attitude that has characterized Americans for two centuries. This is our country. This is not the time for surrender. It’s time to fight to preserve America the best way you can—vote for candidates who promise to preserve the rights you value most.

Your vote does matter. There are no perfect candidates, but the party positions make a difference in this critical election. If you want law and order, secure borders, fair elections, property rights, and a return to personal responsibility, there is only one party to support. Vote for every GOP candidate you are given the opportunity to support, or it may very well be America no more!

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Guns

Prepare for the Worst: Domestic Sabotage and Violence on the Horizon

The wheels of extremism are already in motion

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Leading up to this November, and beyond, it now seems inevitable that America will experience extreme turmoil, if not outright hostilities and even urban warfare. Nothing that I write here will have any impact in terms of what is likely to occur. For one, Leftists don’t tend to read articles by conservative and, two, the wheels of extremism are already in motion.

Tactics Without End

I devote at least 500 hours annually to reading about political, historical, and cultural matters, adding up to more than 5,000 hours in the last 10 years. I’ve reached the same conclusion which legions of others have: Domestically the U.S. is headed for huge trouble. We already know many of the Left’s tactics to hinder Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign, which include devious hoaxes, endless lies and slander, bogus lawsuits and selective prosecution, unconstitutional fines, and much more.

As spring leads to summer, Trump’s lead over Biden could grow. As such, expect the Left to act even more desperately with reprehensible tactics. Consider that of late RINO Congressional Representatives are suspiciously retiring early on dates with no chance for a special election to occur in their districts. Hence, Democrats can retake the House. Do you smell payola? Thereafter if Trump is elected, the House could attempt to deny certification.

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By June or July, invariably, the Left will seek to foment another “George Floyd” incident and blame it all on Trump. With the power of The New York Times and major networks embellishing the narrative and offering World War II level coverage, the masses will be snowed. Think about Donald Trump observing that if he’s not elected there will be a bloodbath in the auto industry, and how the mainstream media, in unison, immediately claimed that Trump was calling for nationwide violence.

The Left is Violent and Everyone Knows It

The most violent segment of our society happens to be on the Left, as even many casual observers know. If Trump is ahead in the polls in September or October, expect dissension wherever the Left can prevail. When Trump wins the election in November, expect riots in 200 cities or more, surreptitiously funded by George Soros and his kind.

The money will fuel Antifa and other groups of young men and women who do not have career level jobs but do have questionable futures. The riots will last for as long as the extremists can persist; days, weeks, even months. From there, open warfare, in the form of urban snipers, is entirely possible.

Leading up to inauguration on January 20, many key dates such as certification from Congress, approval of Electoral College votes, and so on, represent key opportunities for the Left’s planned disruptions.

Disruption and Sabotage

January 20 could be a day of extreme violence. Washington, DC will have to be put under martial law. National guards from every surrounding state will be employed. The violent Left will not allow Trump to peacefully take over the reins from the corrupt, demented Joe Biden.

Biden’s administration, ruled by Barack Obama, will not offer a smooth transition of power, unlike all other presidents since our nation was founded. This is except for Obama, who did all he could to sabotage first Trump’s administration from the get-go.

The rest of January leading into February will represent days of turmoil. The Left will attempt to disrupt Trump’s second administration 24/7. They will harass and threaten political appointees. They will form roadblocks. They will resort to antics in front of federal buildings, the Supreme Court building, and other targeted locations which they deem to be ‘in their way.’

Eventually, Trump can clean it all up but at enormous financial and social cost. Rioters and less-than-peaceful protestors can be taken off the streets and, this time, held for much more than 24 hours. They can be charged, fingerprinted, photographed, and processed by a now lawful Department of Justice . However, such major operations will result in a lot of pain and gnashing of teeth.

Sadly for our nation, the scenarios above are more likely to be true than not.

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